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Here’s How We Figured Out the Best Time of Year to Buy *Everything*

Data and research and analysis, oh my!

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How we know

Ever wonder how we decide that February is a genuinely bad month to buy an air fryer? It isn't a hunch. It's years of our own sales data, two editors who watch this stuff daily, and rather a lot of filtering.

Here's the whole method. We're spilling the beans without quite giving away the secret sauce.

By the numbers

Trendsicle editors, all of them actual humans, have been covering sales since 2017.

2017
Covering sales since
398
Separate sales events covered
4,000+
Individual product deals listed
35%
Average saving on a deal we feature

Who actually does this

Four editors write for Trendsicle. Two of them live in the sales data.

Sales & Deals Editor
Covers the everyday stuff people actually search for: air fryers, grills, golf clubs, appliances, furniture, laptops.
Site Director
Covers the big retailer events too, for the likes of Nordstrom, Wayfair, Parachute and Minted.

Between them that's more than 15 years of experience, and literally thousands of products tracked through sale after sale.

Where the data comes from

Four sources feed every "best time to buy" call we make. Three of them are data. The fourth is a person deciding the data is worth acting on.

1

Our own sales archiveSince 2017

Every sale we've ever covered, kept and searchable. That's hundreds of product categories, thousands of individual product sales, and dozens of retailer brands, all filterable by month, week and day.
2

A live Amazon feed92.5% accurate

We've had access to Amazon data on hundreds of thousands of products for years, and we refresh it automatically every 24 hours with a tool we helped customize. A Chromebook that goes on sale today shows up on our sales page the same day, and drops off when the sale ends. There's occasionally a little lag, but we've measured about a 92.5% accuracy rate against current Amazon sale prices.
3

Relationships with retailers

We work with hundreds of the top online and brick-and-mortar retailers, so editorially we usually get a heads up about upcoming sales events while they're still embargoed. That's how we're ready on day one rather than three days late.
4

An editor deciding it's worth your timeHuman

Data surfaces a deal. A person decides whether it's actually good. A deal makes the cut when it's:
  • The best price we've seen in a while
  • On something that almost never goes on sale
  • Currently on-trend, and yes, sometimes that means TikTok
  • Just something an editor genuinely loves

What we're actually asking the data

Slice the archive by category, by product, by retailer, then filter by month, week or day. Three questions fall out of it.

The three questions
1
Which timeframes have the most items on sale?
2
Which have the best discounts, and just as usefully, which have the worst?
3
Which brands and retailers show up most often in that window?

Answer all three and you get the best time to buy something, the worst time to bother, and a decent idea of who'll be running the sale.

Things the data told us that we didn't expect

The useful part isn't confirming that Black Friday exists. It's catching the shifts nobody announces.

Back to school moved
Back to school sales now start at the end of June, not August. If you're shopping in late August you've already missed the good pricing.
Christmas starts in summer
Parents start shopping for Christmas toys in August, not November or December. The deals follow the shoppers, so the toy pricing moves earlier every year.

We re-run this analysis monthly, and we watch the big events closely: Black Friday, Memorial Day, Amazon Prime Day, Way Day and the rest.

The same approach, one step over This is the deals-and-timing half of how we work. The product side, how something earns a recommendation in the first place, is written up in full in our review process.
The bottom line

Years of sales data across thousands of products, hundreds of categories and dozens of trusted retailers, analyzed by editors who then decide what's genuinely worth telling you about. That's how we land on the best time of year to buy the things people actually want, well outside the obvious Black Friday window.

Best time to buy, everything

Here's where all that analysis ends up.